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2024-12-14 01:27:01

Wang Tao of UBS: It is estimated that deficit ratio will approach 4% of its financial resources or increase its investment in social security medical care next year. Wang Tao, head of Asian economic research and chief China economist of UBS, said that China's fiscal deficit ratio is expected to approach 4% next year, and the scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds excluding capital injection into state-owned banks may be 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of new local government special bonds may be 4.5 trillion to 5 trillion yuan. In fact, the fiscal expansion next year is relatively mild compared with the fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009. Wang Tao believes that next year, the government will increase investment in social security and medical care, and establish a more perfect social security system while boosting residents' confidence in the short term.Fuli Zong took the helm for 100 days: the management, dealers and product ideas were completely adjusted. At the end of August this year, Fuli Zong took over the legal representative, chairman and general manager of Hangzhou Wahaha Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Wahaha") from his father Zong Qinghou, and took over 29.40% of the company's shares. By early December, more than three months had passed. In just 100 days, Fuli Zong, who is in charge of Wahaha, has implemented a series of controversial reform measures, including adjusting the organizational structure and almost completely replacing the core management; The employee contract and distributor contract of the core department were signed to Hongsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Hongsheng Beverage"); Reconstruct the dealer system, and even select the dealers in the form of "bidding" for the first time ... On December 11 -12, I called Ye Yaqiong, director of the president's office and director of the government affairs center of Wahaha Group, and contacted Wahaha public affairs related people to send them an interview outline, but as of press time, I did not get a reply. (21 Finance)Singapore iron ore futures fell 2.4%, almost erasing the gains this week.


Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.The customer service said that the technical department was working hard to find out the reason. Today, many netizens reported that there was a problem with the Lingke App, such as "the network was disconnected", "the App was out of position" and "the App should be repaired quickly". Many netizens left a message under the official website of Lingke Auto. Linke customer service said that at present, the technical department is working hard to investigate the reasons, and it is recommended that you use the remote control key or NFC key to drive the vehicle in the near future. Some netizens ridiculed that it was not a broken pole, and it was broken into a collar. Recently, Geely's shareholding has experienced a business crisis, and Link is also a brand of Geely. (Sina Technology)Dalian Shengya had a daily limit in the afternoon, and its share price hit a record high. Since November, its cumulative increase has exceeded 150%.


CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.

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